The Future: In the Next Twenty Years: Food, Energy, Finance and Demographics

Next we want to look at how economic and finance will affect the world in the next twenty years and my predictions. But first some background:

http://www.authorsden.com/visit/viewshortstory.asp?id=54668&authorid=121255
http://www.authorsden.com/visit/viewshortstory.asp?id=59272&authorid=121255
 http://www.authorsden.com/visit/viewshortstory.asp?id=54079&authorid=121255
 http://www.authorsden.com/visit/viewshortstory.asp?id=50904&authorid=121255
 What will be the financial drivers in the world economy in the next twenty years?

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/businessdesk/2013/07/the-immigrant-brain-drain-how.html
 But first we have to understand the present situation we find outselves in.
 But first some parameters:
The statute of limitations and financial crimes"

http://corporatejusticeblog.blogspot.com/2013/07/megabankers-face-10-year-statute-of.html
 7/26/13
The Global  Middle Class leading world wide revolts?

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323873904578571472700348086.html?mod=WSJ_article_RecentColumns_TheSaturdayEssay
 7/29/13

Massive unemployment for 16-19 year old. It will be a long summer and maybe might create an Arab Spring for the US?

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/businessdesk/2013/07/could-high-teen-joblessness-trigger-an-arab-spring-or-summer-in-america.html

 7/30/13

Getting access to a bank account may in the future may depend upon your credit score and bank history.
 http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/07/30/over-a-million-are-denied-bank-accounts-for-past-errors/?_r=0
 7/31/13

Massive Bee die off. Pesticides to blame. Food prices up?

http://rt.com/usa/bee-pesticide-scientist-research-600/

  The trillion dollar farm bill up in congress. Millions given to dead farmers
 http://rt.com/usa/us-subsidies-dead-farmers-820/
 So in our focus on the future of the world in finance and economics we will identify initially  three huge factors- Food, Fuel and the American middle class and the Chinese have been critical factors in world economic growth.

So where are these items currently? What kind of shape are they in?

Let's have a look and then delve into the implications of what we find.
Background
The Global Food Crisis to get worse

http://www.authorsden.com/visit/viewshortstory.asp?id=50904&authorid=121255
 
 The decline of the American Middle Class
http://www.authorsden.com/visit/viewshortstory.asp?id=59272&authorid=121255
 The outline of basic energy costs and wall street speculators.

http://www.theguardian.com/business/2013/jul/30/jpmorgan-ferc-penalty-energy-prices

The situation in Europe
Read the charts

http://www.authorsden.com/visit/viewshortstory.asp?id=54079&authorid=121255

 Here is a single summary paragraph  and then we go to detail.

The world's yearly gross national product: (the value of all the goods and services produced by every country in the world)-equals 71 trillion dollars: the amount of debt in the world is a one thousand trillion.

This will never be repaid so what will happen in the next twenty years?

8/2/13

95% unemployment rate for black teens?

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/businessdesk/2013/07/how-to-guarantee-a-job-for-every-american.html
 
 8/3/13

Now lets start to look at solutions for the future: First Housing

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=Mlt6kaNjoeI
 http://www.cnn.com/2013/08/01/tech/wikihouse-build-your-own-house/
 
http://onpoint.wbur.org/2013/07/31/fast-food-economy?utm_content=buffer394c2&utm_source=buffer&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Buffe
 "But previous attempts to cut subsidies on fuel and basic food items in Egypt have not gone well. In 1977, such an effort led to bloody riots that resulted in 80 deaths before President Anwar Sadat cancelled the reforms. According to a recent World Bank/Gallup’s public opinion poll in the Middle East and North Africa, Egypt and Jordan were most likely to resist subsidy reforms compared to other countries. Six in 10 Egyptians did not point to an item that merited a subsidy cut. But subsidies in this North African country, particularly for fuel, are turning into a macroeconomic nightmare."
Notice the bias in this article. "Reform" is code for reducing these subsidies which has been caused by US and Wall Street speculators driving up the costs of food and fuel, cornering world markets, is the  basic cause.
 Bank speculators have also driven up world wide prices for seed, metals, food and fuel and had a hand in the Detroit bankruptcy all for its own private profit.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/08/07/jpmorgan-aluminium-prices-chase-glencore-goldman_n_3718773.html


8/11/13

Fukushima will leak radioactive water into the Pacifica forever?

http://rt.com/op-edge/tepco-fukushima-sea-water-reactor-194/
 http://rt.com/news/japan-fukushima-nuclear-disaster-164/
 If the oceans become contaminated the future looks bleak. We will discuss this next
 8/12/13|

Fuel Subsidies in Egypt

http://energyblog.nationalgeographic.com/2013/07/23/in-tumultuous-egypt-fuel-subsidy-reform-is-inevitable/
 8/13/13

We now want to do an interim report on our prognosis on the next twenty years in the world. We will continue on thereafter.
Here are a few items we have already mentioned above.

1. Population and Demography:
Changes are inevitable and can end with intercultural, interracial, inter-religious marriages which can blunt if not prevent  race, class, cultural and religious strife. That part is also inevitiable -given current trends.

Or it can trend toward oppression, wars, persecution, religious, racial and cultural and even civil war. (This is happening in countless countries today.)
We are also seeing a reaction to these trends currently where immigration is resisted; where racial anomosities are deliberately being fanned as the long dominant group see their hegemony challenged by the new comers, and where long-established segregation patterns are threatened.

Understand we are a segregated society, along class, "race" media, housing, schooling, everywhere, and fast becoming a two-class society, with no middle class.
This reaction, if mishandled, could put us into race wars, religious wars, and the like or even civil war. It has happened already in this country once (our Civil War) and in other countries as well. Let us hope that it does not happen again here in the US.
This pattern is happening, all well,  all over the Western World. What is happening in the US is happening in Europe, France, Germany,Russia and to some extent in China as well.

But note a religious war between the so-called Christian World and the Muslim World would benefit the elites, the corporations, the police state apparatus and the politicians, all of whom would get rich and have an excuse to garner even more power to themselves, at our expense.
 A hope  in all of this is that the family will be re-created along multicultural lines because, if the downward spirial of the family can be halted, and reconstituted along multi-cultural lines, societies can be rebuilt from the bottom up and war mongers would not have an easy time rousing populations to hatred and fear.

Young people seem to be willing to mix, intermarry, and interrelate unlike their elders and therefore offer hope for the survival of the family in the future, in the next twenty years.
If this is prevented or blunted then we will have hoards of unsocialized, youth gangs roaming our cities and our country-side, no jobs, no families, angry, hungry and enraged that the elders have left them with no resources and no future.

This is the pattern in history sane people want to avoid.

The rich will barricade themselves behind, gated, guarded communities on islands in the Mediterranean (many have bought islands and fortified them) and try to wait things out while unleashing the military and police on the young hoards, or trying to co-op them and use them against everyone one else designated as the enemy (Jews, Blacks, Muslims, women, Latinos, take your pick.)

Think this is not likely? Read below:

http://www.alternet.org/tea-party-and-right/7000-patriots-living-walled-citadel-built-around-arms-factory-idaho-what-could

Versions of this happened in Germany and countless other countries throughout history.

http://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=18ec8c8c-edeb-472c-a9e0-fa11c6766625